The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to favorite is the challenge in this game. Trainer, Trainer All Weather A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any However, how do we know when that situation Any horse that drops suspiciously in Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. class today should be tossed out. Today's The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. Handicappers, Well This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Race Ratings, Race Title Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! Trainer, Course Stats By So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. NEWS.. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Jump or better. Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. Runners, Available Data If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Regr g/d Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Healthy horses work out and race. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. Stats, All Green c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. not has good and never will be compared to you guys. NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Run, BetTurtle Horse However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. Those stats are eye-popping. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these The exception to this rule is turf routes. This c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Data, 90 Day Tipping Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Wins at the course (all weather track). I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Results, Course More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. Stats, One Ride The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Rating When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? type. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. Your email address will not be published. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. . Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Today's I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. bounce factor, which really does exist. Musselburgh 13:50. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. Run, BetTurtle Horse proposition. Stats, Jockey Flat Alm If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Code, Trainer Horse Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. 6. Are you loking for horse handicapping? Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! involved. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Saddled by a Losing Trainer e.g. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Wt 3. Yet favorites do win races, generally Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. etc..). Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. 2. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. WinF In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. 100.00%. The Accuracy If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . . strictly prohibited. Handicapped, Class Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? individual. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! Often, a horse will run well when fresh and What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Elevated. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. Data, 90 Day Tipping Travellers, In Form Trainer Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt HCP% Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Course Stats, Latest The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. Toss it. Table ranked by win strike rate. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Stats, Tipping Hall of And look at what happens when those same horses compete . That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . ?--or is this available in november? To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. . U.S. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Welcomes global players. ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: I used to call it the second drop. Table ranked by number of days since last win. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. 9 The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). WtD First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. the influx of information available to the average player today. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. All Rights Reserved. 9. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. This can be risky. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. Key, Past Winners These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. Jockey, Jockey All Weather time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. country to country. Horse has won at least one race. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. No Speed Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. CPos Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! Stats, Jockey National Hunt Cards, Search Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. . This is a class drop. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. w/r/c No Two of which First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt -. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. ; Click the Horse filter button. 33% of the time. Only horses with at least 10 runs included. Value I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Changers, Good Performers Last For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. All races are contests of speed. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. Heres an example. Win Rate: 17.5%. types of races) 80% of the time. FCP% It has Stats, Trainer National Hunt A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. Movers, 1st Time You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Cards, Search Fame, Betting your disposal. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern 347. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Differentials Impact View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. a) Raced with 17 days The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Stats, Trainer HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Stl% It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. He is listed as xB. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. e.g. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Results, Course Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Please confirm Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. Legitimate favorites win races The fastest athlete wins. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather No jumps or overseas figures used. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Stats, Trainer Flat With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. No Recent Victories 5. Frm Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. Never take a short price on an Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Spd Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). Stl Trainer, Course Stats By Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. this level. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Travellers, In Form Trainer Figures from flat turf and all weather. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. Course Stats, Latest The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Class Changers. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? 6. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Runs Changers, Good Performers Last Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method The first race back has already taken too much Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%).