Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. An unimaginably long time. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Your email address will not be published. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Think of yourself as dead. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. On one try. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Those who are brave (foolish?) I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Maybe that one would have been better. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred I hope you use your chance well. Me neither. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. So what's the probability of your being born? Are You a Miracle? Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Scripture says. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Part of HuffPost Wellness. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Just go have some fucking fun! This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! This includes personalizing content and advertising. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. saving. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Why? Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! But let's think about this some more. But lets think about this some more. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Are they gross exaggerations? By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Are they gross exaggerations? Step 3. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Now things start getting interesting. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. So what's the probability of your being born? I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. But let's think about this some more. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. How fast does a laden fly fly? And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. June 5. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. That's 150,000 generations. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Its maddening to see people worry so much. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Want to Read. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. They agree to within a factor of two! Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. You get the volume of planet Earth. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Step 1. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Do you know the odds of being alive? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Based on the data from the CDC . Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. And worry and fear? "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Part of HuffPost Wellness. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Thats going to take a LONG time. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Probability is a pure odd. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. But lets make it longer. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day.